The Number of Lawsuits is Clearly Dropping: Reasons Offered by Some Practitioners
Over the past week I have discussed this topic with a few lawyers. Two were from large national firms and both confirmed that the numbers of lawsuits were indeed falling and it was a national phenomenon. A sole practitioner back east had a similar observation.
Each offered different explanations. One suggested that clients had billion dollar problems and therefore had no inclination to engage in million dollar disputes. Although facially plausible, a client should still want to file a million dollar suit if the expected return is positive. What probably has changed is clients’ risk tolerance. The financial situation has resulted in their discounting the return, and perhaps the firm’s legal fees contribute to making the investment imprudent.
Another explanation was that the prior administration did not enforce regulatory law with the expected vigor of the present administration. This appears to be more of an explanation based on hope. Given the economic scenario, one certainly is not going to see the present administration focusing on anti-trust cases to curb undue profits—instead they are hoping for profits.
One lawyer suggested that tough economic times make business behavior more common, where good times encourage innovative business practices that either run afoul of a legal tenet or require litigation to establish the rules of the road. This is possible; however, desperation seems to be an equally strong incentive to push regulatory limits or look for creative solutions.
Another explanation is that economic difficulties result in juries developing a reluctance to grant large awards, thus discouraging tort claims. Certainly, that explanation has some merit if the plaintiffs’ counsel finds fewer cases that meet his threshold for a contingency investment. However, this should simply encourage firms with lower overheads to replace those with higher overheads.
So what is the explanation? The answer is a little of everything above, and perhaps - just perhaps - a cultural shift. The new economic normal forecasted by a number of analysts might have a legal culture analog where our society finds other less formal ways to either avoid or resolve disputes. It could be a cultural shift we can see, but as yet cannot explain.